Is Tampa Bay Coach Dirk Koetter Scared Of Going For Two?

Two point conversions seem to be a hot topic of late. Big Ben Roethlisberger has been outspoken in his opinion of the two point play, and fellow quarterback Drew Brees has weighed in as well. Both are strongly in support.

Now Tampa Bay  Head Coach Dirk Koetter is giving his two cents on two point conversions. During an interview with WDAE-AM in Tampa Bay Koetter admitted that going for two is the smart play mathematically. Summing it up nicely  he said, “We’ve studied it, and mathematically, it does make sense.” So why is the Tampa Bay coach hesitant to commit to changing his offensive strategy?

Well according to the coach, he’s afraid of getting “dog cussed”. Now I am from the south, but dog cussed isn’t one that I’ve personally heard, though from context we can safely assume that’s not a good thing. “Say we go out there that first game, and we score three touchdowns and we don’t make any two pointers and we lose 21-18. Who’s going to get killed? Your’re going to be on [the radio] and you’re going to be dog cussin’ me the whole time.”

While a good dog cussin’ may keep Dirk Koetter up at night, I’m sure he’s far more worried about keeping his job. Koetter is right in the fact that at the end of the day it all comes down to points on the board. While going for two makes sense for some teams, such as the Pittsburgh Steelers, it’s not a viable offensive strategy for others. For teams to be successful in going for two, they are going to have to have a game plan. They will have to be confident in their play calling and they’ll have to have multiple endzone weapons. For teams who are weaker offensively it just doesn’t make sense to take the risk. Because make no mistake, it is a risk. Extra point kicks are far more successful in the long run.

The rule change last season has no doubt changed NFL game play (in my opinion for the better). No longer is the two point conversion a play of desperation and PATs aren’t the guaranteed points they use to be, not all teams are going to be as quick to the learning curve as the Pittsburgh Steelers.

So while Koetter may not be the bravest coach in the NFL, he may be one of the smarter ones.

 

 

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The Future of the NFL: Is the extra point a thing of the past?

“Put it in our hands. I want the ball. Any player would relish that opportunity.” -Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger

Last season there was much ado about the new extra point rule changes. PATs, which were formerly placed on the two yard line, were moved to the 15 yard line. Many speculated about the impact this key rule change would have on the NFL. Well the stats are in.

  • In 2015 there were only five teams to not attempt a two point conversion as opposed to eight in 2014.
  • Two Point Conversion attempts increased by 65% (!)
  • PAT success rates dropped by 5.1%

Obviously the change had quite the impact. The Pittsburgh Steelers in particular saw great success in 2015 when going for two. They attempted 11 two point conversions (more than double any team attempts in 2014) and were successful 72.7% of the time, or eight scores for those out there counting. Had Big Ben stayed healthy the number would have very likely been higher. So it’s no surprise that reports coming from The Steelers camp suggest that there will be more of the same from The Pittsburgh offense in 2016. In fact, Roethlisberger wants to go for two every time.

Other quarterbacks are weighing in on the two point question. Drew Brees went on the record on the Dan Patrick Show saying that he is “all for” going for two every time.

And although teams considering the change in offensive strategy may seem like pioneers, the math is sound. If the PAT percentage remains the same from last season, teams would only have to convert 47.1% of attempts to make up the difference. (The 2015 conversion average was 47.9%) If I was a betting woman (and I am) I’d place my money on the number of two point conversion attempts continuing to increase in 2016.

Fantasy Perspective:

Two point conversions are very likely to be more of a staple in offensive strategy next season. This obviously means more opportunities for fantasy points. The beneficiaries of this are strong mobile quarterbacks like Ben Roethlisberger, Andy Dalton, Jameis Winston, and Cam Newton and pass catching running backs such as Le’Veon Bell, David Johnson, Mark Ingram, and Matt Forte. The obvious losers are (as usual) the kickers.

Read what I had to say last season about the rule change on YourFantasyFootballCoach.com

Kickers and the Extra Point

The Fantasy Implications of The Two Point Conversion Changes

Your Fantasy Football Coach

Last week I talked about the impact of the preseason rule change to move an extra point kick to the 15 yard line as opposed to placing it on the 2 yard line. The effects of this change are already being felt in a variety of ways.

This new rule could be just the start of more immediately impactful changes in the future. But, perhaps you don’t really care about rules, offensive schemes, or play calling. You want to know how all this affects you and your fantasy team. Well, I live to serve.

The Fantasy Impact of Rule Changes Regarding the Extra Point and Two Point Conversion

A good kicker is hard to find.

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Kickers and the Extra Point in 2015

Your Fantasy Football Coach

During the preseason, a major change was implemented that had the potential to drastically change the offensive strategies for some NFL teams. I’m talking about changes made regarding how teams score after a touchdown.

While the ball placement during two point conversions stayed the same on the two yard line, there was a significant change on where extra point attempts would originate. Kicking plays for the 2015 season are spotted on the 15 yard line as opposed to around the two yard line.

Most analysts thought this change would have little to no effect on how teams approached their scoring strategies. After all, for so many years the extra point was pretty much a guarantee. Kickers were pretty accurate on field goals from less than 20 yards as well. Over 90%…

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The Pittsburgh Steelers Have Release Josh Scobee

Josh Scobee has learned the first rule of football. Don’t piss off Snoop dog.

I’m sure Scobee’s release doesn’t come as a shock to many. Josh Scobee has performed at a less than desirable level during his employment with The Steelers. He missed a field goal early in the season that left Head Coach Mike Tomlin, and The Steelers organization doubtful of their kicker’s potential. As a result Pittsburgh turned it’s eye instead to the two point conversion, and took more risks in the red zone. In the wake of a lackluster performance, Twitter has been less than kind.

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It was Scobee’s Thursday night performance that sealed his fate. Scobee missed two critical field goals from 40+ yards. As a direct response to his less than stellar performance, The Steelers chose to go for it on a fourth down in overtime against the Baltimore Ravens. They failed to convert on the down. They went on to lose to the Ravens by three.

The Steelers have officially signed free agent Chris Boswell. Scobee finished his tenure with The Steelers making 6 of 7 extra points, and 6 of 10 field goals. It’s currently a hard time in the NFL for kickers.